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The Bhandari Leverage Premium High debt, solvent
We took it to KrestTested
A decade of Indian data · 2016 to 2026

Every rule of thumb says avoid the debt heavy companies. Buying the most indebted, that could pay their interest, beat the Indian market by five points a year.

This is the most contrarian screen we have tested. It ranks companies by how much debt they carry and buys the heaviest borrowers, exactly the firms most checklists exist to avoid. One discipline separates it from recklessness: every company must cover its interest comfortably and earn a real profit. Levered, not drowning. On a decade of Indian data that distinction was worth a great deal.

We built 258 portfolios from it, one for every starting month, held one, three and five years. Most screens we have tested only reveal their character at one horizon. This one showed the same face at every horizon, and that steadiness is its signature.

Return by the month you happened to start
258 portfolios in all · held one year shown · top 30
Leverage PremiumNifty 500
Toggle the holding period. Two starts in three beat the index, at one year, at three, and at five.

At every horizon the answer came back the same: roughly two of every three starting months beat the index, with five year holds earning a median near 29% a year. Some screens need patience to work and some are exposed by it. This one simply kept paying at the same steady rate, wherever you cut it.

The shape of it: paid often, and paid big at the far end

Over a single year, half of all starts landed between roughly −23% and +91%, with the best year reaching about +141% and the worst near −40%. The upside tail stretched more than three times as far as the downside. That is what being paid a premium looks like in the raw data: many good years, a scatter of spectacular ones, and the occasional hard fall as the price of admission.

The full decade: the borrowers outran the market

Run straight through from 2016, the thirty most levered names that could service their debt compounded at about 19.15% a year against the index's 13.9%, turning ₹10 lakh into roughly ₹58 lakh where the index reached about ₹37 lakh. It even cleared the market on reward for each unit of risk taken, which levered baskets are not supposed to do. And what it owned may surprise you: not speculative wrecks but Power Grid, held in every single rebuild, Larsen and Toubro, NTPC, the great debt financed builders of Indian infrastructure.

₹10 lakh in the heaviest solvent borrowers since 2016
Growth of the portfolio · vs Nifty 500
Top decileTop 30Nifty 500
Ahead of the index for most of the decade, and further ahead the longer it ran.

The fall you signed up for, start by start

Leverage magnifies both directions, and the drop was as real as the return. Across start dates, the worst fall over a five year hold typically reached about 48%, and the unluckiest starts lost around 68% before recovering, against the index's 34%. There is no version of this idea without that exposure; the premium exists precisely because most investors will not sit through it. The distribution shows what sitting through it actually meant.

Worst fall over five years, by the month you started
One bar per start date · the dashed line is the typical fall
The cost side of the premium: deep falls, arriving on no schedule.

What it actually owned

The basket is the physical economy: power, engineering, materials, autos, the businesses that borrow because what they build is expensive. A meaningful large cap weight sets it apart from the micro cap screens, though nearly half still sat in the smallest names, which is where the swings come from.

The stocks it kept buying
Share of yearly rebuilds each name survived
Where the money sat · average sector weight
By company size, share of the basket
19.15%
a year for the top 30 · the index made 13.9%
2 in 3
starts beat the index, at one, three and five year holds alike
−19% to −68%
range of the worst five year fall, depending when you started
The full teardown

In the deep dive we test whether more debt really meant more return bucket by bucket, watch concentration get paid, find the weather this screen needs, and face the strangest fact of all: the exact opposite screen, buying the least indebted companies, also beat the market. Short version: both extremes won, and the reason why is the real lesson.

Read the full teardown

A premium, not a free lunch

The oldest logic in finance says risk that cannot be diversified away must be paid for, and leverage is exactly that kind of risk. This screen collected the payment: five extra points a year, steady odds at every horizon, earned by holding companies whose debt makes most investors flinch, protected by the one gate that matters, the ability to pay the interest. What it asks in return is tolerance for falls of half or more, arriving without warning. Whether that trade suits you depends entirely on which loss you fear more, the visible one on a bad day or the quiet one of declining the premium for a decade.

So we took it to Krest, and ran it through the whole test.

KREST TESTED · RUN ON REAL HISTORY ·
Method mark
Krest Tested
We ran the Leverage Premium through the test on a decade of Indian data, every start date and every holding period. The rigour is ours; the verdict is yours.

Free · no account needed

Test before you trust.

Every figure on this page came from a few clicks on Krest. See this exact analysis live and interactive, or point the same test at any strategy you have ever believed.

For education only. Not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, strategy, or product. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and all investing carries risk, including the possible loss of capital. Make your own decisions, and consider consulting a SEBI registered investment adviser.

Best effort analysis. Prepared on a best effort basis from historical data and may contain errors, omissions, or assumptions. Shared for information and discussion only, and should be independently verified before you rely on it. Krest accepts no liability for any decision made or loss incurred based on it.

Figures reflect a leverage premium screen (ranked by debt to equity, descending, among companies with positive debt, interest coverage above two and positive net profit, market cap above ₹1,000 cr), reconstructed yearly over the last ten years of Indian data (since June 2016), measured against the Nifty 500 total return index. The leverage premium is a classic finding in the asset pricing literature. Because this rests on about ten years of data, a longer run of history could change the conclusions.

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