Krest
See it live →
FCF Conversion Quality Cash conversion + earnings yield
We took it to KrestTested
A decade of Indian data · 2016 to 2026

Buy companies that turn profit into real cash, and trade cheap. It was one of the biggest winners we tested, and one of the wildest.

Reported profit can be massaged; cash is harder to fake. This screen pairs that test of honesty with a test of price, and buys the companies that pass both. On a decade of Indian data it turned ₹10 lakh into roughly ₹84 lakh, more than double what the market returned. The number is real. So is what you had to live through to keep it.

₹10 lakh in cash rich, cheap companies since 2016
Growth of the portfolio · vs Nifty 500
Top decileTop 30Top 10Nifty 500

One backtest is one story, so we built 261 portfolios from the screen, one for every month you could have started, held one, three and five years. Rank companies by how much of their profit shows up as cash and by how cheap they are, add the two ranks, buy the best thirty, rebuild each year. It made about 24% a year against the market's 13.9%, turning ₹10 lakh into roughly ₹84 lakh while a Nifty 500 fund reached ₹39 lakh. A commanding result. But before you reach for it, two things about that number deserve a hard look.

First catch: the ranking sorts, but only roughly

If the combined score truly measured quality, the best scoring companies would have earned the most, cleanly, top to bottom. They did not. Sort every stock into ten buckets and the returns climb, but raggedly: the rank correlation was about −0.67, a real signal pointing the right way, yet a noisy one. Several middle buckets landed out of order, and the very best scoring bucket was not even the top performer. So this is a useful tilt, not a precise ruler. It nudges you toward the right kind of company; it will not reliably hand you the single best one.

Return by combined score, weakest bucket to best
Full decade return a year · ten buckets · D10 = best score
Best bucketNifty 500
A rough staircase, not a clean one. Rank correlation about −0.67, where −1 is a flawless sort.

Second catch: look at what it actually bought

The bigger surprise is the portfolio itself. This is not a basket of famous compounders. The screen led you deep into small and micro cap companies, close to two thirds of the money in the smallest tier, heavy in materials, industrials and energy. The names it held most often were cyclical and often unloved: NCC, Oil & Natural Gas, CESC, JK Paper. That is where both the return and the danger came from. Cash rich, cheap, small companies were a wonderful place to be over this particular decade, but they are volatile, thinly traded, and easy to abandon at exactly the wrong moment.

The stocks it kept buying
Share of yearly rebuilds each name survived
Where the money sat · average sector weight
By company size, share of the basket
24%
a year for the top 30 · the index made 13.9%
−61% to −77%
the five year falls, typical to worst · the index fell −34%
9%
a year on top of an equal weight small cap index · a genuine edge

A big number, paid out in violent years

Even a winner this size handed out wildly different results by when you began. One bar for every start month tells the honest story: mostly generous, sometimes savage. Over a single year eight in ten holds landed anywhere between −34% and +116%, the luckiest start more than doubling at +157%, the unluckiest losing −56%. It beat the index in 60 of 100 one year starts. Stretch the hold and it steadies: over five years every single start date made money and it beat the market in about two of every three runs. This is an edge that rewards patience, and punishes anyone who reaches for it near a peak and sells in the fall.

Return by the month you happened to start
261 portfolios in all · held one year shown · top 30
FCF Conversion QualityNifty 500
Same screen, same rules. The pairing ran hot, but a bad entry month could still halve your money in a year.
The full teardown

The overview is the flattering half. In the deep dive we ask whether the two clever signals really drove the return or the small caps did, whether concentrating into the very best scores paid, and the exact market weather this screen needed. Short version: a genuine edge riding a very risky vehicle.

Read the full teardown

A real edge, wrapped in real risk

FCF Conversion Quality is a strong idea that worked, and it is easy to see why: honest cash and a cheap price are a sensible pair, and demanding both kept you away from expensive stories and accounting mirages. But the version that produced ₹84 lakh did it by owning deep, small, cyclical companies through falls most people cannot stomach. The return is not the number you would have kept unless you could hold a portfolio that halved and worse without flinching. Whether you can is a question about your nerve and your horizon, not about the screen, and it is exactly the thing worth learning before you commit real money to it.

So we took it to Krest, and ran it through the whole test.

KREST TESTED · RUN ON REAL HISTORY ·
Method mark
Krest Tested
We ran FCF Conversion Quality through the test on a decade of Indian data, and looked hard at what really earned the return. The rigour is ours; the verdict is yours.

Free · no account needed

Test before you trust.

Every figure on this page came from a few clicks on Krest. See this exact analysis live and interactive, or point the same test at any strategy you have ever believed.

For education only. Not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, strategy, or product. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and all investing carries risk, including the possible loss of capital. Make your own decisions, and consider consulting a SEBI registered investment adviser.

Best effort analysis. Prepared on a best effort basis from historical data and may contain errors, omissions, or assumptions. Shared for information and discussion only, and should be independently verified before you rely on it. Krest accepts no liability for any decision made or loss incurred based on it.

Figures reflect a combined rank of free cash flow to net profit and earnings yield (positive free cash flow and net profit, market cap above ₹1,000 cr), reconstructed yearly over the last ten years of Indian data (since June 2016), measured against the Nifty 500 total return index. Cash conversion and cheapness both draw on the quality and value literature. Because this rests on about ten years of data, a longer run of history could change the conclusions.

Krest · mykrest.com